Recent statements from Justice Samuel Alito, the second-oldest member at 76, have reinforced expectations of continuity on the Supreme Court through at least the end of the current term in June 2027. Alito confirmed in early October interviews that he decided months ago to remain and would not step down during the lame-duck session after the November midterms, even amid speculation over potential Democratic Senate gains that could block future confirmations. Justice Clarence Thomas, at 78, has shown no retirement signals, while younger justices including Chief Justice Roberts and Sonia Sotomayor also lack indications of departure. With zero current Supreme Court vacancies reported and no other catalysts evident, trader assessments align with a low probability of any opening before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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