The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination race remains wide open more than two years before South Carolina's early primary, with no candidate holding a commanding position among traders. Kamala Harris leads at a 27.5% implied probability, followed by Jon Ossoff at 17.5% and Gavin Newsom at 16.7%, while a long list of other senators, governors, and national figures trails at single-digit or lower levels. This tight distribution reflects the fluid early field, the state's importance for testing support among Black voters and moderates, and the absence of decisive endorsements, primary polling, or major campaign events that could consolidate backing. Upcoming developments such as candidate announcements, South Carolina-specific fundraising, or shifts in national party positioning could begin to separate frontrunners ahead of the 2028 cycle.
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