Recent polls conducted days before Serbia’s October 25 snap parliamentary election place Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list and the Student List well ahead, with Ivica Dačić’s Factor of Stability list at 3.2%—the only other national list above the 3% threshold for seats. This positions Dačić’s Socialist Party-led coalition as the clear third-place contender in vote share, consistent with multiple surveys showing Authentic Right, European Serbia, and most others below the cutoff. Minority lists such as the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians remain lower. Traders’ 66.5% consensus on Dačić for third reflects these final pre-election measurements and the limited movement among smaller lists in the closing campaign period.
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