Recent polls across Texas, Michigan, and Maine show all three Senate races as tight toss-ups heading into the November 3 election, with Democratic candidates holding narrow leads or ties in most surveys. In Texas, James Talarico edges Ken Paxton by 1–2 points on average amid heavy ad spending and turnout focus on the economy. Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed maintains a modest lead over Mike Rogers, while Maine’s Troy Jackson and Susan Collins remain essentially tied. These slim margins sustain the 53% trader consensus on a Democratic sweep while keeping mixed outcomes near 50%, as small shifts in any state could alter the combination before final vote counts.
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