The NFL single-season passing yards record stands at 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Through the first six weeks of the 2026 season, Matthew Stafford leads with roughly 1,572–1,794 yards, placing him on a projected pace near 5,300–5,400 yards; Bryce Young, Jared Goff, and others trail slightly behind on similar or lower trajectories. Sustaining 320-plus yards per game across a full 17-game schedule remains rare due to defensive schemes, weather, injuries, and run-heavy game scripts that limit volume for even high-upside passers like Stafford, Joe Burrow, and Drake Maye. No quarterback has approached the mark in recent seasons, and current per-game averages plus historical sustainability data support the market's strong consensus that the record will stand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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