The Packers' 31-7 road victory in the first matchup on October 11 shifted early series momentum, but the Christmas Day rematch at Soldier Field heavily influences current pricing. Chicago enters that game with home-field advantage and an expected return of quarterback Caleb Williams from hamstring injury, alongside a league-leading rushing attack led by D’Andre Swift. Green Bay remains hampered by multiple season-ending absences, including edge rusher Micah Parsons, linebacker Edgerrin Cooper, and receiver Jayden Reed, plus ongoing offensive-line issues. These factors position a split as the consensus outcome among traders, while a Packers sweep would require overcoming significant roster and venue disadvantages in the finale.