**Jahmyr Gibbs leads the 2026 AP Offensive Player of the Year market at 25.5% implied probability, ahead of Bijan Robinson (16%), Kenneth Walker III (15.3%), and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (13.5%), reflecting a tight early-season race driven by standout rushing and scoring production.** Through five weeks, Gibbs has posted 504 rushing yards and a league-high nine total touchdowns for the 3-2 Lions, including a 207-scrimmage-yard, two-touchdown outing in Week 5. Robinson has paced the league in rushing volume with 580 yards and strong efficiency for the Falcons, while Walker has delivered explosive gains (537 rushing yards through four games) in his first season with the Chiefs. Smith-Njigba’s receiving dominance keeps a wideout in the mix. With no candidate exceeding 26% and the season only a quarter complete, traders see a wide-open field where sustained volume, team wins, and injury resilience will determine the frontrunner.