Several quarterbacks sit on a strong early pace for 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026 regular season, with Brock Purdy, Trevor Lawrence, and Kirk Cousins each at 14 through six games. Aaron Rodgers has posted 11 in his last four outings, while Joe Burrow and Drake Maye remain in contention despite fewer starts. Key variables include offensive line health, red-zone efficiency, and schedule difficulty ahead, alongside injury developments such as Jalen Hurts on injured reserve. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for regression risk over the remaining schedule and the historical difficulty of sustaining elevated touchdown rates through 17 games.