Jeff Van Drew maintains a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency since 2019, and prior victories by double-digit margins in a district Donald Trump carried by over 12 points in 2024. The race has drawn increased Democratic attention in recent weeks, including the DCCC adding it to its target list, a $1.5 million outside ad buy against the incumbent, and a Philadelphia Inquirer endorsement of challenger Zack Mullock on October 22. Their October 22 debate at Stockton University featured sharp exchanges over tariffs, the Iran conflict, Medicaid funding, immigration, and data centers, with Mullock tying Van Drew to Trump policies and Van Drew defending his record. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Safely Republican, and limited polling shows Van Drew ahead by 8–10 points ahead of the November 3 election.