Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a consistent lead over Republican Lily Tang Williams in New Hampshire’s 2nd district, with recent September 2026 polling showing her ahead by 15 to 21 points. Primary victories in early September cleared the field for the rematch of their 2024 contest, and forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic. Trader pricing on margin buckets clusters between 10 and 25 points for Goodlander, reflecting the district’s D+3 lean, her fundraising edge, and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that could compress or expand the spread. An independent candidate adds minor uncertainty to the final tally, while the low odds on a Republican win align with the current polling average and structural advantages for the incumbent heading into the November 3 general election.