Marine Le Pen leads trader consensus for France’s 2027 presidential election at 46.3 percent, reflecting her consistent first-round polling lead of 34–38 percent and projected runoff victories against all tested opponents. Recent unrest, including large protests over living costs and public services in mid-October, has lifted her National Rally support while exposing divisions among centrists and the left. Édouard Philippe and David Lisnard trail as the strongest mainstream challengers but face fragmented fields, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon holding second place in many surveys. The April 2027 first round and potential May runoff remain six months away, leaving room for shifts in turnout or alliances.