Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon’s prime minister since February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, securing parliamentary confidence and maintaining cabinet stability into late 2026. Recent developments show him actively directing policy, including security deployments in Greater Beirut, expanded investigations into illegal explosives, reconstruction tenders in the south, and diplomatic engagement with Qatar and the United States on Israeli withdrawal and state sovereignty. Reports from September and October indicate no cabinet reshuffle or replacement is under consideration, with backing from key Arab states and broad political consensus on avoiding disruption amid ongoing ceasefire implementation and economic recovery efforts. These factors underpin trader consensus that Salam is likely to remain in office through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions