Sal Stewart maintains a clear lead in the NL Rookie of the Year market at roughly 72% implied probability due to his league-leading 32 home runs and 112 RBI among rookies, plus a full 162-game workload that produced All-Star honors and historic Reds rookie marks. Carson Benge has narrowed the gap to around 27% through superior overall value, including 4.3 fWAR, elite outfield defense with a cannon arm, and a 20-20 campaign capped by a red-hot September surge that boosted his batting line to .282/.346/.430. Traders appear to weigh Stewart’s raw power and durability against Benge’s well-rounded profile, while fringe candidates like A.J. Ewing remain minimal factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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