MC maintains a leading position in the Jalisco Congress race at 55% amid a crowded field where multiple parties sit near 50% or lower, reflecting the state's distinct political landscape. Movimiento Ciudadano draws on its longstanding local organizational strength and control of key municipalities, while Morena's 18.5% and PAN's 11.5% show national momentum tempered by weaker Jalisco-specific polling. Recent legislative friction over water infrastructure projects has highlighted coalition challenges and attendance issues that could influence voter perceptions of governing competence. Upcoming candidate selections and alliance talks ahead of the 2027 vote may shift momentum if opposition forces consolidate or if local economic concerns intensify.