Recent polling averages place Yashar, the new party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, at roughly 21 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 20 to 26. This positioning keeps projected vote share in a narrow band near the 18-22% thresholds as the party competes directly with Likud for the largest share. Yashar has focused its final campaign on consolidating votes from the anti-Netanyahu Zionist opposition while highlighting security credentials and economic plans for young voters. Persistent bloc deadlock, with neither side near 61 seats, plus volatility from undecided voters, turnout patterns, and smaller lists crossing or missing the 3.25% threshold, sustains the tight distribution reflected in trader pricing. Late shifts in northern or commuter-belt support could still alter the final allocation.