Recent final polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place the Together list, the Bennett-Lapid centrist alliance, at 14-15 seats across major outlets, aligning with the market's leading 14-16 outcome. This range reflects the party's stabilization after earlier post-merger declines, amid a fragmented field where Yashar and Likud lead but neither bloc reaches the 61-seat threshold for a majority. Traders appear to weigh consistent survey results from the past week, including surplus-vote agreements and threshold risks for smaller lists, as the primary drivers of current implied probabilities. No major developments in the final 48 hours have shifted these projections.