Ra'am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, polls consistently in the 5–6 seat range across recent surveys, with averages near 5.3 seats as the October 27 Knesset election approaches. Separate from the Joint List, the party benefits from efforts to broaden its base, including placing a Jewish former lawmaker second on its slate and emphasizing domestic Arab-sector priorities such as crime reduction and budgets. The Supreme Court’s unanimous October 2 reversal of the Central Elections Committee’s disqualification bid cleared the path for participation. Higher projected Arab voter turnout could support these totals, while bloc competition and rules against Arab parties in coalitions introduce variability that keeps 4-seat and 7-seat outcomes in play at lower probabilities.
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