**Gianni Infantino remains firmly entrenched as FIFA president heading into late 2026, with trader consensus heavily favoring the "No" outcome on removal by December 31 at 91.5% implied probability.** Recent council meetings and public statements show he retains decisive backing from African, Asian, and South American confederations, which control the majority of FIFA’s 211 member associations and prioritize his record of expanded World Cup formats and financial distributions over European criticism. The October 15 Zurich council session saw Infantino apologize for the failed FIFA Forward Enterprise (FFE) private-equity plan for World Cup rights, but he avoided deeper disclosures; European leaders including the FA and DFB voiced ongoing dissatisfaction yet lack the votes or mechanism for an immediate ouster before the March 2027 congress in Rabat. No credible challenger has emerged ahead of the November 18 nomination deadline, leaving Infantino as the sole viable candidate for a fourth term. UEFA’s legal filings and calls for documents have not produced an emergency congress or resignation trigger, and his global lobbying plus FIFA’s resource advantages continue to solidify alliances. While European opposition highlights governance concerns, the timeline and voting structure make an exit by year-end highly unlikely absent unforeseen developments.
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