**In Georgia's 14th congressional district, state law requires a majority of the vote for an outright win in the November 3 general election, triggering a December 1 runoff otherwise.** Incumbent Republican Clayton Fuller faces Democrat Shawn Harris and two independents after winning a April 2026 special election runoff with 55.9% following a March first round where no candidate reached 50%. The district's solid Republican lean and Fuller's primary consolidation support an expected strong showing, yet the multi-candidate field and precedent of vote splitting create uncertainty about clearing the majority threshold. Traders assign a 55.9% implied probability to no outright winner, reflecting the competitive dynamics and structural runoff risk in this race.