The recent October 2025 Dutch general election installed a new House of Representatives term scheduled to run through 2030, with no constitutional trigger or evident political catalyst for early dissolution in 2026. The minority Jetten cabinet of D66, VVD, and CDA faces polling weakness and coalition strains yet operates without signs of immediate collapse or no-confidence pressure. Provincial elections set for 2027 will affect Senate composition but lie outside the current year. Trader consensus at 98.9% for no dissolution reflects the standard four-year cycle, recent election timing, and absence of acute governance crises that historically prompt snap votes. Late coalition breakdown or parliamentary deadlock could still shift odds, though no such developments appear imminent.