Iliana Iotova’s commanding position in the October 25 presidential election stems from consistent first-round polling leads of 41–47 percent among decided voters, backed by Progressive Bulgaria, the Bulgarian Socialist Party, and aligned groups. As the acting incumbent seeking a full term, her ticket with Kiril Valchev benefits from established party infrastructure and voter familiarity ahead of a projected runoff against Andrey Gyurov. Multiple surveys released in the campaign’s final week show Gyurov’s reformist ticket, supported by We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria, holding steady at 28–30 percent, while Kostadin Kostadinov’s nationalist option trails at 10–13 percent. Low expected turnout near 40 percent makes an outright first-round majority unlikely, and hypothetical runoff matchups indicate Iotova would prevail by wide margins. Recent Black Sea security incidents have featured in the campaign but have not altered the established ranking among the 27 registered tickets.