Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 25 second-round presidential runoff, reflecting the state’s consistent preference for candidates aligned with his family’s platform. In the October 4 first round, he captured 71% of valid votes there—the highest share nationwide—winning 14 of 15 municipalities while Lula took just 23%. Pre-election surveys showed similar margins, with Bolsonaro at 59–68% versus Lula’s 20%. Local economic priorities around mining, cattle ranching, and resource development have reinforced this positioning, building on Jair Bolsonaro’s prior strong performances in the state. A narrow national contest leaves room for late shifts in turnout or mobilization, though the scale of the existing gap limits realistic paths for reversal before polls close.