Recent polling shows the Banská Bystrica mayoral contest tightening ahead of the October 24 vote, with incumbent Ján Nosko holding a narrowing lead over Diana Javorčíková. Her support has risen as the coalition-backed challenger emphasizes change after Nosko’s twelve years in office, while his backing has remained steady. Matúš Molitoris has also gained ground in third place. Tomáš Sobota’s withdrawal and endorsement of Javorčíková further consolidated opposition votes. Traders price Javorčíková highest, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on these late-campaign shifts, though the single-round system and undecided voters leave room for movement before election day.