Recent September data showed Argentine consumer prices rising 1.9% month-over-month, lifting the year-to-date increase to 23.6% while the annual rate eased to 33.4%, consistent with analyst expectations and marking the second straight month below the 2% threshold. Central Bank REM surveys and private forecasters maintain a median outlook near 30% for December 2026, with BBVA Research revising its full-year projection to 29.5%; the IMF lifted its 2026 average estimate to 32.5%. This data trajectory, supported by core inflation easing to 1.7% and policy focus on disinflation, underpins the 66.5% implied probability for the 30.0-34.9% bin among Polymarket traders, while the 25-29.9% range at 26.5% reflects potential for further moderation if monthly prints hold near 1.7-1.8%.