Recent polling in the Alabama governor race shows Republican Tommy Tuberville holding an 11- to 13-point lead over Democrat Doug Jones among likely voters, consistent with the market's emphasis on a modest Republican margin of victory. Strong party-line support underpins Tuberville's position, while Jones maintains near-unanimous backing from Democrats and an edge among independents, leaving room for shifts as undecided voters resolve. Cost-of-living concerns rank as the dominant voter priority, and the open-seat contest following term limits on the prior governor has not produced major late developments capable of widening the gap. With the November 3 election approaching, the current trader consensus on margins reflects these steady but not overwhelming dynamics.