Ivory Coast leads Group C trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability after securing maximum points from the opening two AFCON 2027 qualifiers, defeating Ghana 2-0 and Somalia 2-0 to establish a strong goal difference. The Elephants benefit from superior squad depth, recent international form, and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Gambia sits second at 17% following its own unbeaten start, including a 4-2 win over Ghana, but trails on tiebreakers and faces a tougher path. Ghana and Somalia remain at the bottom with zero points after heavy defeats, limiting their realistic chances despite the long schedule of matches through March 2027. These early results have shaped the current pricing.