Éric Zemmour’s September 2026 confirmation on BFMTV that he will seek the Reconquête nomination for the 2027 presidential election has anchored trader consensus at an 80% implied probability for him over Sarah Knafo. The party founder and 2022 candidate explicitly described himself as Reconquête’s “natural candidate,” closing earlier internal discussion of Knafo as a potential alternative after polling comparisons within the couple. Knafo, an MEP and vice president of the party, has repeatedly endorsed Zemmour while focusing her own media presence on economic critiques in her recent book and party outreach. Zemmour indicated a formal declaration would follow in the autumn, with no subsequent developments altering the party’s alignment behind its established leader ahead of the April 2027 first round.