Chengdu Rongcheng’s six-point lead atop the Chinese Super League table after 28 rounds drives the 80% implied probability for the title, reflecting a 52-point haul and +17 goal difference that places them well clear of challengers. Dalian Yingbo sits second on 46 points with a modest +2 goal difference, supported by a strong recent run of results that has kept them in contention but leaves limited margin for error with two rounds remaining. Their head-to-head history shows mixed outcomes, and the clubs meet on matchday 29, a fixture that could shift momentum. Trader pricing incorporates Chengdu’s overall consistency alongside Dalian’s improved form and the inherent variability of late-season fixtures in the competition.